Northampton County

Pennsylvania — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

90.0

National percentile: 90th

Northampton County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 90.0, 90th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $90M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $90M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 313K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Winter Weather
High $940K/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $5M/yr
Riverine Flood
High $63M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather High 14.21 / yr $940K
Heat Wave Medium 5.95 / yr $5M
Riverine Flood High 3.32 / yr $63M
Lightning High 34.58 / yr $2M
Hurricane Medium 0.06 / yr $5M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $3M
Cold Wave Medium 1.00 / yr $5M
Strong Wind Medium 6.13 / yr $1M
Tornado Medium 0.17 / yr $4M
Landslide Low 0.24 / yr $11K
Ice Storm Medium 1.67 / yr $259K
Drought Low 1.86 / yr $228K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $173
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $14K
Hail Very Low 2.57 / yr $107K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Northampton County?

Northampton County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 90.0 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 90th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Northampton County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (High, $940K EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $5M EAL), Riverine Flood (High, $63M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Northampton County compare to other Pennsylvania counties?

Northampton County ranks #13 of 67 Pennsylvania counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Northampton County's $90M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.