Wayne County

North Carolina — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

90.4

National percentile: 90th

Wayne County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 90.4, 90th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and hurricane exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $66M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $66M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 117K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Winter Weather
Very High $1M/yr
Hurricane
High $24M/yr
Tornado
Medium $5M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather Very High 5.00 / yr $1M
Hurricane High 0.26 / yr $24M
Tornado Medium 0.39 / yr $5M
Riverine Flood Medium 1.32 / yr $28M
Hail Medium 4.14 / yr $1M
Heat Wave Medium 8.58 / yr $2M
Lightning High 51.01 / yr $659K
Ice Storm Medium 0.87 / yr $349K
Strong Wind Medium 1.30 / yr $872K
Drought Medium 7.92 / yr $514K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $796K
Cold Wave Medium 0.47 / yr $1M
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $49K
Landslide Very Low 0.09 / yr $264
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Wayne County?

Wayne County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 90.4 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 90th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Wayne County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (Very High, $1M EAL), Hurricane (High, $24M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $5M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Wayne County compare to other North Carolina counties?

Wayne County ranks #11 of 100 North Carolina counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Wayne County's $66M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.