Sampson County, North Carolina Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · NC

Medium

Composite Risk Score

90.2

National percentile: 90th

Sampson County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 90.2, 90th national percentile), driven primarily by strong wind and hurricane exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $55M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Sampson County is medium, with a National Risk Index score of 90.2 out of 100 — placing it in the 90th national percentile and near the national midpoint for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by strong wind (damaging straight-line winds outside of tornadoes and hurricanes) at High risk — $3M in expected annual loss and about 1.92 events per year; hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at High risk — $35M in expected annual loss and about 0.27 events per year; and winter weather (heavy snow, blizzards, and hazardous winter conditions) at High risk — $430K in expected annual loss and about 4.26 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $55M in expected annual loss for a population of 59K.

Beyond physical exposure, Sampson County has a very high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.

The federal record bears this out: Sampson County has received 25 federal disaster declarations since 1984, including 17 for hurricane events and 2 for tropical storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 100 North Carolina counties, Sampson County ranks #12 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $55M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 59K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

High $3M/yr
High $35M/yr
High $430K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Strong Wind High 1.92 / yr$3M
Hurricane High 0.27 / yr$35M
Winter Weather High 4.26 / yr$430K
Drought Medium 9.64 / yr$945K
Hail Medium 4.17 / yr$782K
Tornado Medium 0.68 / yr$3M
Ice Storm Medium 1.04 / yr$248K
Heat Wave Medium 8.84 / yr$930K
Lightning Medium 52.36 / yr$394K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr$638K
Riverine Flood Low 1.25 / yr$8M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr$108K
Cold Wave Medium 0.47 / yr$1M
Landslide Very Low 0.15 / yr$195
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Sampson County has received 25 federal disaster declarations since 1984, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (17), Tropical Storm (2), Severe Storm (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
September 2024Tropical StormHurricane Helene
August 2024Tropical StormTropical Storm Debby
October 2022HurricaneHurricane Ian
March 2021Severe StormTropical Storm Eta
August 2020HurricaneHurricane Isaias
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
October 2019HurricaneHurricane Dorian
September 2019HurricaneHurricane Dorian

Showing the 10 most recent of 25 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Sampson County?

Sampson County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 90.2 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 90th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Sampson County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Strong Wind (High, $3M EAL), Hurricane (High, $35M EAL), Winter Weather (High, $430K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Sampson County compare to other North Carolina counties?

Sampson County ranks #12 of 100 North Carolina counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Sampson County had?

FEMA records 25 federal disaster declarations for Sampson County since 1984, most often 17 for hurricane events and 2 for tropical storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Sampson County's $55M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.