Valencia County
New Mexico — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
MediumComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 82th
Valencia County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 82.3, 82th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $38M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Earthquake | Medium | 0.00 / yr | $4M |
| Riverine Flood | Medium | 0.61 / yr | $30M |
| Lightning | High | 57.70 / yr | $913K |
| Wildfire | Low | 0.00 / yr | $727K |
| Winter Weather | Medium | 7.60 / yr | $190K |
| Heat Wave | Low | 2.42 / yr | $724K |
| Hail | Low | 0.55 / yr | $348K |
| Drought | Low | 53.49 / yr | $174K |
| Strong Wind | Low | 0.27 / yr | $209K |
| Tornado | Very Low | 0.07 / yr | $175K |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $16 |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 0.05 / yr | $130K |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $6K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.19 / yr | $19 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Valencia County?
Valencia County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 82.3 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 82th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Valencia County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Medium, $4M EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $30M EAL), Lightning (High, $913K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Valencia County compare to other New Mexico counties?
Valencia County ranks #10 of 33 New Mexico counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Valencia County's $38M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.