Union County

New Mexico — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

12.1

National percentile: 12th

Union County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 12.1, 12th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $4M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $4M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 4K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
High $1M/yr
Wildfire
Low $759K/yr
Winter Weather
Medium $88K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought High 160.17 / yr $1M
Wildfire Low 0.01 / yr $759K
Winter Weather Medium 15.21 / yr $88K
Hail Low 2.21 / yr $308K
Lightning Low 54.76 / yr $136K
Landslide Very Low 0.73 / yr $77
Cold Wave Very Low 0.69 / yr $142K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $15K
Tornado Very Low 0.81 / yr $66K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.05 / yr $4K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.19 / yr $14K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.67 / yr $42K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.96 / yr $666K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $1
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Union County?

Union County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 12.1 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 12th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Union County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (High, $1M EAL), Wildfire (Low, $759K EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $88K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Union County compare to other New Mexico counties?

Union County ranks #28 of 33 New Mexico counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Union County's $4M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.