Scotland County

Missouri — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

33.0

National percentile: 33th

Scotland County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 33.0, 33th national percentile), driven primarily by heat wave and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $6M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 5K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Heat Wave
Medium $3M/yr
Landslide
Low $3K/yr
Drought
Medium $281K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Heat Wave Medium 9.21 / yr $3M
Landslide Low 0.19 / yr $3K
Drought Medium 14.27 / yr $281K
Hail Low 3.40 / yr $256K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $37K
Tornado Low 0.23 / yr $775K
Lightning Low 45.60 / yr $139K
Strong Wind Low 3.94 / yr $308K
Cold Wave Low 4.47 / yr $323K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $46K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $3K
Winter Weather Very Low 11.11 / yr $10K
Riverine Flood Very Low 1.00 / yr $1M
Ice Storm Very Low 0.17 / yr $2K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Scotland County?

Scotland County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 33.0 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 33th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Scotland County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Heat Wave (Medium, $3M EAL), Landslide (Low, $3K EAL), Drought (Medium, $281K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Scotland County compare to other Missouri counties?

Scotland County ranks #77 of 115 Missouri counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Scotland County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.