Big Stone County, Minnesota Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · MN

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

8.5

National percentile: 9th

Big Stone County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 8.5, 9th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $4M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Big Stone County is very low, with a National Risk Index score of 8.5 out of 100 — placing it in the 9th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in cold wave (prolonged spells of dangerously low temperatures) at Low risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 14.00 events per year; winter weather (heavy snow, blizzards, and hazardous winter conditions) at Medium risk — $99K in expected annual loss and about 20.58 events per year; and hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Low risk — $243K in expected annual loss and about 3.80 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $4M in expected annual loss for a population of 5K.

Beyond physical exposure, Big Stone County has a low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

History supports the rating: Big Stone County has received 20 federal disaster declarations since 1969, including 9 for flood events and 6 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Storms and Flooding (flood), declared in July 2023.

Among 87 Minnesota counties, Big Stone County ranks #78 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $4M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 5K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Low $2M/yr
Medium $99K/yr
Low $243K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave Low 14.00 / yr$2M
Winter Weather Medium 20.58 / yr$99K
Hail Low 3.80 / yr$243K
Ice Storm Low 0.41 / yr$48K
Landslide Very Low 0.05 / yr$420
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$16K
Heat Wave Very Low 2.63 / yr$143K
Drought Very Low 3.32 / yr$10K
Tornado Very Low 0.35 / yr$319K
Strong Wind Low 2.75 / yr$192K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.54 / yr$2M
Lightning Very Low 33.20 / yr$21K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$6K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Big Stone County has received 20 federal disaster declarations since 1969, most recently Severe Storms and Flooding in July 2023. Most frequent causes: Flood (9), Severe Storm (6), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
July 2023FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
August 2022Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
July 2022Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
June 2019FloodSevere Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
July 2013Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
May 2011FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
April 2010FloodFlooding
March 2010FloodFlooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 20 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Big Stone County?

Big Stone County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 8.5 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 9th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Big Stone County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (Low, $2M EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $99K EAL), Hail (Low, $243K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Big Stone County compare to other Minnesota counties?

Big Stone County ranks #78 of 87 Minnesota counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Big Stone County had?

FEMA records 20 federal disaster declarations for Big Stone County since 1969, most often 9 for flood events and 6 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Storms and Flooding, declared in July 2023.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Big Stone County's $4M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.