Warren County
Kentucky — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
MediumComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 88th
Warren County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 88.5, 88th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $80M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Hail | Very High | 3.14 / yr | $23M |
| Tornado | High | 0.42 / yr | $10M |
| Earthquake | Medium | 0.00 / yr | $6M |
| Ice Storm | High | 0.74 / yr | $1M |
| Riverine Flood | Medium | 2.54 / yr | $32M |
| Heat Wave | Medium | 6.11 / yr | $2M |
| Cold Wave | Medium | 0.89 / yr | $4M |
| Strong Wind | Medium | 6.09 / yr | $1M |
| Lightning | Medium | 55.11 / yr | $658K |
| Winter Weather | Medium | 7.00 / yr | $181K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $46K |
| Drought | Low | 2.43 / yr | $99K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.49 / yr | $542 |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $7K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Warren County?
Warren County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 88.5 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 88th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Warren County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Very High, $23M EAL), Tornado (High, $10M EAL), Earthquake (Medium, $6M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Warren County compare to other Kentucky counties?
Warren County ranks #5 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Warren County's $80M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.