Union County

Kentucky — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

42.8

National percentile: 43th

Union County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 42.8, 43th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $11M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $11M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 14K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Earthquake
Low $3M/yr
Ice Storm
High $505K/yr
Drought
Medium $871K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Low 0.01 / yr $3M
Ice Storm High 1.22 / yr $505K
Drought Medium 5.45 / yr $871K
Strong Wind Medium 4.36 / yr $867K
Heat Wave Low 8.79 / yr $466K
Winter Weather Low 7.21 / yr $61K
Hail Low 3.00 / yr $195K
Tornado Low 0.29 / yr $632K
Riverine Flood Low 4.11 / yr $3M
Cold Wave Low 1.11 / yr $343K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $9K
Lightning Low 52.37 / yr $74K
Landslide Very Low 0.33 / yr $118
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $1K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Union County?

Union County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 42.8 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 43th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Union County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Low, $3M EAL), Ice Storm (High, $505K EAL), Drought (Medium, $871K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Union County compare to other Kentucky counties?

Union County ranks #51 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Union County's $11M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.