Menifee County, Kentucky Natural Disaster Risk
FEMA National Risk Index assessment · KY
Very LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 6th
Menifee County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 6.2, 6th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $3M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Risk Overview
Menifee County carries a very low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 6.2 out of 100 — placing it in the 6th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.
Risk here concentrates in landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Low risk — $17K in expected annual loss and about 0.62 events per year; wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Very Low risk — $51K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year; and winter weather (heavy snow, blizzards, and hazardous winter conditions) at Very Low risk — $22K in expected annual loss and about 14.58 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $3M in expected annual loss for a population of 6K.
Beyond physical exposure, Menifee County has a low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.
History supports the rating: Menifee County has received 32 federal disaster declarations since 1993, including 17 for severe storm events and 4 for snowstorm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in May 2026.
Among 120 Kentucky counties, Menifee County ranks #119 for overall natural disaster risk.
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Landslide | Low | 0.62 / yr | $17K |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $51K |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 14.58 / yr | $22K |
| Strong Wind | Low | 4.64 / yr | $201K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $44 |
| Riverine Flood | Very Low | 1.46 / yr | $3M |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $30K |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 2.68 / yr | $63K |
| Tornado | Very Low | 0.06 / yr | $224K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.02 / yr | $4K |
| Drought | Very Low | 2.77 / yr | $799 |
| Hail | Very Low | 3.17 / yr | $51K |
| Lightning | Very Low | 50.96 / yr | $49K |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 0.44 / yr | $8K |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 1.11 / yr | $115K |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Disaster History
Menifee County has received 32 federal disaster declarations since 1993, most recently Severe Winter Storm in May 2026. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (17), Snowstorm (4), Severe Ice Storm (3).
| Declared | Type | Disaster |
|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| January 2026 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| May 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes |
| April 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding |
| February 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides |
| February 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Landslides |
| November 2024 | Tropical Storm | Remnants of Hurricane Helene |
| July 2024 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Landslides, and Mudslides |
| April 2023 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides |
| April 2021 | Flood | Severe, Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides |
Showing the 10 most recent of 32 declarations.
Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Menifee County?
Menifee County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 6.2 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 6th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Menifee County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Low, $17K EAL), Wildfire (Very Low, $51K EAL), Winter Weather (Very Low, $22K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Menifee County compare to other Kentucky counties?
Menifee County ranks #119 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.
How many federally declared disasters has Menifee County had?
FEMA records 32 federal disaster declarations for Menifee County since 1993, most often 17 for severe storm events and 4 for snowstorm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in May 2026.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Menifee County's $3M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.