Meade County, Kentucky Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · KY

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

40.9

National percentile: 41th

Meade County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 40.9, 41th national percentile), driven primarily by strong wind and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $13M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Meade County at very low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 40.9 out of 100 — placing it in the 41st national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Meade County's expected losses come from strong wind (damaging straight-line winds outside of tornadoes and hurricanes) at Medium risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 6.38 events per year; tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at Medium risk — $3M in expected annual loss and about 0.24 events per year; and ice storm (freezing rain that coats surfaces in heavy, damaging ice) at Medium risk — $172K in expected annual loss and about 0.87 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $13M in expected annual loss for a population of 30K.

Beyond physical exposure, Meade County has a low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

The federal record bears this out: Meade County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1974, including 13 for severe storm events and 4 for tornado events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 120 Kentucky counties, Meade County ranks #57 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $13M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 30K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $1M/yr
Medium $3M/yr
Medium $172K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Strong Wind Medium 6.38 / yr$1M
Tornado Medium 0.24 / yr$3M
Ice Storm Medium 0.87 / yr$172K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr$486K
Cold Wave Low 1.21 / yr$968K
Hail Low 3.49 / yr$261K
Winter Weather Low 8.42 / yr$64K
Heat Wave Low 5.74 / yr$361K
Riverine Flood Low 0.75 / yr$6M
Lightning Low 53.37 / yr$195K
Landslide Very Low 0.38 / yr$413
Drought Low 2.22 / yr$29K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$4K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$5K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Meade County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1974, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (13), Tornado (4), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
April 2025Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
April 2025Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
February 2025Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Landslides
July 2024Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Landslides, and Mudslides
April 2023Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
December 2021TornadoSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Tornadoes
December 2021TornadoSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Tornadoes
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19

Showing the 10 most recent of 24 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Meade County?

Meade County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 40.9 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 41th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Meade County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Strong Wind (Medium, $1M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $3M EAL), Ice Storm (Medium, $172K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Meade County compare to other Kentucky counties?

Meade County ranks #57 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Meade County had?

FEMA records 24 federal disaster declarations for Meade County since 1974, most often 13 for severe storm events and 4 for tornado events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Meade County's $13M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.