Madison County

Kentucky — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

74.8

National percentile: 75th

Madison County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 74.8, 75th national percentile), driven primarily by lightning and strong wind exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $37M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $37M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 93K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Lightning
High $2M/yr
Strong Wind
High $2M/yr
Winter Weather
High $318K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Lightning High 51.78 / yr $2M
Strong Wind High 6.41 / yr $2M
Winter Weather High 10.89 / yr $318K
Tornado Medium 0.20 / yr $6M
Cold Wave Medium 1.05 / yr $5M
Hail Medium 3.33 / yr $1M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $1M
Riverine Flood Medium 1.93 / yr $18M
Ice Storm Medium 0.78 / yr $277K
Heat Wave Low 2.53 / yr $658K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $57K
Hurricane Very Low 0.03 / yr $83K
Landslide Very Low 0.74 / yr $1K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $69
Drought Very Low 2.77 / yr $5K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Madison County?

Madison County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 74.8 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 75th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Madison County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Lightning (High, $2M EAL), Strong Wind (High, $2M EAL), Winter Weather (High, $318K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Madison County compare to other Kentucky counties?

Madison County ranks #15 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Madison County's $37M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.