Ogle County

Illinois — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

71.1

National percentile: 71th

Ogle County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 71.1, 71th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $36M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $36M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 52K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hail
Medium $2M/yr
Cold Wave
Medium $5M/yr
Tornado
Medium $5M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hail Medium 4.13 / yr $2M
Cold Wave Medium 5.68 / yr $5M
Tornado Medium 0.68 / yr $5M
Riverine Flood Medium 1.18 / yr $21M
Strong Wind Medium 6.22 / yr $1M
Drought Medium 11.22 / yr $879K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $686K
Ice Storm Low 0.70 / yr $163K
Landslide Very Low 0.14 / yr $2K
Heat Wave Low 3.58 / yr $304K
Lightning Low 41.29 / yr $195K
Winter Weather Very Low 14.84 / yr $20K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $4K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $5K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Ogle County?

Ogle County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 71.1 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 71th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Ogle County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Medium, $2M EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $5M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $5M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Ogle County compare to other Illinois counties?

Ogle County ranks #34 of 102 Illinois counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Ogle County's $36M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.