Coles County
Illinois — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 70th
Coles County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 70.4, 70th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $31M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Drought | Medium | 1.66 / yr | $2M |
| Earthquake | Low | 0.00 / yr | $4M |
| Winter Weather | Medium | 8.37 / yr | $210K |
| Cold Wave | Medium | 2.37 / yr | $3M |
| Riverine Flood | Medium | 1.68 / yr | $17M |
| Tornado | Medium | 0.43 / yr | $3M |
| Heat Wave | Low | 7.21 / yr | $1M |
| Hail | Low | 2.71 / yr | $587K |
| Landslide | Low | 0.15 / yr | $5K |
| Strong Wind | Medium | 4.39 / yr | $695K |
| Ice Storm | Low | 0.83 / yr | $70K |
| Lightning | Low | 47.72 / yr | $203K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.03 / yr | $30K |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $3K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Coles County?
Coles County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 70.4 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 70th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Coles County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (Medium, $2M EAL), Earthquake (Low, $4M EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $210K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Coles County compare to other Illinois counties?
Coles County ranks #35 of 102 Illinois counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Coles County's $31M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.