Tulare County

California — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

High

Composite Risk Score

97.0

National percentile: 97th

Tulare County faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 97.0, 97th national percentile), driven primarily by heat wave and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $214M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $214M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 473K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Heat Wave
High $30M/yr
Riverine Flood
High $130M/yr
Wildfire
High $10M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Heat Wave High 5.42 / yr $30M
Riverine Flood High 3.04 / yr $130M
Wildfire High 0.00 / yr $10M
Earthquake Medium 0.06 / yr $36M
Landslide High 70.09 / yr $433K
Lightning High 15.72 / yr $2M
Hail Medium 0.13 / yr $2M
Avalanche High 0.10 / yr $1M
Drought Medium 83.25 / yr $1M
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $108
Tornado Low 0.30 / yr $427K
Strong Wind Low 0.04 / yr $209K
Winter Weather Very Low 13.19 / yr $18K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Cold Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Ice Storm Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Tulare County?

Tulare County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 97.0 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 97th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Tulare County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Heat Wave (High, $30M EAL), Riverine Flood (High, $130M EAL), Wildfire (High, $10M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Tulare County compare to other California counties?

Tulare County ranks #21 of 58 California counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Tulare County's $214M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.