Marion County

Arkansas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

48.0

National percentile: 48th

Marion County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 48.0, 48th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $10M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $10M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 17K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
Very High $2M/yr
Landslide
Low $12K/yr
Cold Wave
Medium $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm Very High 2.09 / yr $2M
Landslide Low 1.83 / yr $12K
Cold Wave Medium 2.37 / yr $1M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $402K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $77K
Lightning Medium 57.90 / yr $225K
Heat Wave Low 8.26 / yr $388K
Strong Wind Medium 3.81 / yr $463K
Tornado Low 0.40 / yr $966K
Winter Weather Low 8.58 / yr $47K
Riverine Flood Low 1.07 / yr $3M
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $11K
Hail Very Low 5.47 / yr $48K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 10.83 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Marion County?

Marion County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 48.0 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 48th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Marion County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (Very High, $2M EAL), Landslide (Low, $12K EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Marion County compare to other Arkansas counties?

Marion County ranks #49 of 75 Arkansas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Marion County's $10M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.