Yavapai County
Arizona — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
MediumComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 94th
Yavapai County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 93.7, 94th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and lightning exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $108M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Wildfire | High | 0.01 / yr | $29M |
| Lightning | Very High | 47.87 / yr | $3M |
| Riverine Flood | High | 7.25 / yr | $70M |
| Winter Weather | High | 4.46 / yr | $461K |
| Hail | Medium | 0.43 / yr | $1M |
| Earthquake | Low | 0.00 / yr | $2M |
| Heat Wave | Medium | 3.82 / yr | $2M |
| Landslide | Low | 4.41 / yr | $5K |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $16 |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $560 |
| Strong Wind | Low | 0.56 / yr | $323K |
| Tornado | Low | 0.51 / yr | $451K |
| Drought | Very Low | 67.67 / yr | $17K |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $5 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Yavapai County?
Yavapai County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 93.7 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 94th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Yavapai County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (High, $29M EAL), Lightning (Very High, $3M EAL), Riverine Flood (High, $70M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Yavapai County compare to other Arizona counties?
Yavapai County ranks #6 of 15 Arizona counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Yavapai County's $108M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.