Chilton County, Alabama Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · AL

Low

Composite Risk Score

54.7

National percentile: 55th

Chilton County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 54.7, 55th national percentile), driven primarily by tornado and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $16M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Chilton County at low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 54.7 out of 100 — placing it in the 55th national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at Medium risk — $5M in expected annual loss and about 0.64 events per year; landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Low risk — $10K in expected annual loss and about 0.90 events per year; and heat wave (prolonged periods of extreme heat that threaten health and infrastructure) at Low risk — $748K in expected annual loss and about 8.53 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $16M in expected annual loss for a population of 45K.

Beyond physical exposure, Chilton County has a medium social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Chilton County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1973, including 10 for hurricane events and 7 for severe storm events. The most recent was Hurricane Helene (hurricane), declared in September 2024.

Among 67 Alabama counties, Chilton County ranks #38 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $16M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 45K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $5M/yr
Low $10K/yr
Low $748K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Tornado Medium 0.64 / yr$5M
Landslide Low 0.90 / yr$10K
Heat Wave Low 8.53 / yr$748K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr$566K
Lightning Medium 69.51 / yr$359K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$94K
Riverine Flood Low 0.50 / yr$8M
Hurricane Very Low 0.07 / yr$145K
Cold Wave Low 0.42 / yr$845K
Drought Low 29.01 / yr$66K
Strong Wind Low 1.36 / yr$243K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.39 / yr$19K
Hail Very Low 3.06 / yr$69K
Winter Weather Very Low 1.84 / yr$6K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Chilton County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1973, most recently Hurricane Helene in September 2024. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (10), Severe Storm (7), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
September 2024HurricaneHurricane Helene
December 2020HurricaneHurricane Zeta
September 2020HurricaneHurricane Sally
July 2020Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
October 2017HurricaneHurricane Nate
September 2017HurricaneHurricane Irma
February 2012Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
April 2011Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 24 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Chilton County?

Chilton County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 54.7 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 55th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Chilton County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Tornado (Medium, $5M EAL), Landslide (Low, $10K EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $748K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Chilton County compare to other Alabama counties?

Chilton County ranks #38 of 67 Alabama counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Chilton County had?

FEMA records 24 federal disaster declarations for Chilton County since 1973, most often 10 for hurricane events and 7 for severe storm events. The most recent was Hurricane Helene, declared in September 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Chilton County's $16M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.