Ferry County, Washington Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · WA

Low

Composite Risk Score

51.7

National percentile: 52th

Ferry County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 51.7, 52th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $11M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Ferry County carries a low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 51.7 out of 100 — placing it in the 52nd national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Ferry County's expected losses come from wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Medium risk — $5M in expected annual loss and about 0.01 events per year; landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Medium risk — $165K in expected annual loss and about 1.67 events per year; and volcanic activity (eruptions producing ashfall, lava, and pyroclastic hazards) at Very Low risk — $11 in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $11M in expected annual loss for a population of 7K.

Beyond physical exposure, Ferry County has a very high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Ferry County has received 22 federal disaster declarations since 1974, including 10 for fire events and 5 for severe storm events. The most recent was Swawilla Fire (fire), declared in July 2024.

Among 39 Washington counties, Ferry County ranks #30 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $11M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 7K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $5M/yr
Medium $165K/yr
Very Low $11/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr$5M
Landslide Medium 1.67 / yr$165K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$11
Riverine Flood Low 0.82 / yr$4M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$129K
Cold Wave Low 0.79 / yr$482K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr$103
Heat Wave Very Low 3.58 / yr$88K
Winter Weather Very Low 20.74 / yr$12K
Drought Very Low 11.36 / yr$16
Lightning Very Low 19.71 / yr$21K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.15 / yr$25K
Hail Very Low 0.14 / yr$10K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.02 / yr$2K
Tornado Very Low 0.07 / yr$9K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Ferry County has received 22 federal disaster declarations since 1974, most recently Swawilla Fire in July 2024. Most frequent causes: Fire (10), Severe Storm (5), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
July 2024FireSwawilla Fire
April 2024Severe StormSevere Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
February 2021FireWildfires and Straight-Line Winds
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
August 2018FireBoyd's Fire
April 2017FloodSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, Mudslides
October 2015FireWildfires and Mudslides
August 2015FireRenner Fire
August 2015FireWildfires

Showing the 10 most recent of 22 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Ferry County?

Ferry County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 51.7 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 52th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Ferry County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Medium, $5M EAL), Landslide (Medium, $165K EAL), Volcanic Activity (Very Low, $11 EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Ferry County compare to other Washington counties?

Ferry County ranks #30 of 39 Washington counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Ferry County had?

FEMA records 22 federal disaster declarations for Ferry County since 1974, most often 10 for fire events and 5 for severe storm events. The most recent was Swawilla Fire, declared in July 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Ferry County's $11M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.