Lincoln County

Washington — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

54.9

National percentile: 55th

Lincoln County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 54.9, 55th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $14M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $14M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 11K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Wildfire
Medium $5M/yr
Landslide
Medium $50K/yr
Cold Wave
Medium $3M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr $5M
Landslide Medium 0.68 / yr $50K
Cold Wave Medium 1.29 / yr $3M
Avalanche Very Low 0.03 / yr $2K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $403K
Hail Low 0.18 / yr $290K
Riverine Flood Low 0.43 / yr $5M
Ice Storm Low 0.24 / yr $41K
Heat Wave Low 4.43 / yr $172K
Strong Wind Low 0.20 / yr $165K
Winter Weather Very Low 13.29 / yr $14K
Drought Very Low 14.17 / yr $2K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Lightning Very Low 12.68 / yr $19K
Tornado Very Low 0.10 / yr $30K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lincoln County?

Lincoln County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 54.9 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 55th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lincoln County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Medium, $5M EAL), Landslide (Medium, $50K EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $3M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lincoln County compare to other Washington counties?

Lincoln County ranks #29 of 39 Washington counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lincoln County's $14M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.