Henry County, Virginia Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · VA

Low

Composite Risk Score

63.6

National percentile: 64th

Henry County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 63.6, 64th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $15M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Henry County is low, with a National Risk Index score of 63.6 out of 100 — placing it in the 64th national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Henry County's expected losses come from landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Low risk — $24K in expected annual loss and about 0.93 events per year; riverine flood (rivers and streams overflowing their banks after heavy rain or snowmelt) at Medium risk — $11M in expected annual loss and about 1.75 events per year; and ice storm (freezing rain that coats surfaces in heavy, damaging ice) at Medium risk — $184K in expected annual loss and about 1.47 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $15M in expected annual loss for a population of 51K.

Beyond physical exposure, Henry County has a very high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.

The federal record bears this out: Henry County has received 16 federal disaster declarations since 1972, including 5 for hurricane events and 4 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 133 Virginia counties, Henry County ranks #20 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $15M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 51K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Low $24K/yr
Medium $11M/yr
Medium $184K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Low 0.93 / yr$24K
Riverine Flood Medium 1.75 / yr$11M
Ice Storm Medium 1.47 / yr$184K
Hurricane Low 0.07 / yr$559K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr$459K
Drought Medium 8.76 / yr$294K
Strong Wind Medium 3.19 / yr$534K
Cold Wave Low 0.84 / yr$933K
Lightning Low 45.15 / yr$193K
Winter Weather Low 6.47 / yr$47K
Hail Low 4.75 / yr$165K
Tornado Low 0.10 / yr$650K
Heat Wave Very Low 1.21 / yr$131K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$6K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr$3
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Henry County has received 16 federal disaster declarations since 1972, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (5), Severe Storm (4), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
October 2018HurricaneHurricane Florence
September 2018HurricaneHurricane Florence
October 2012HurricaneHurricane Sandy
July 2006Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
March 2003Severe StormSevere Winter Storm, Record/Near Record Snowfall, Heavy Rain,Floodind, and Mudslide
February 2000Severe StormSevere Winter Storms

Showing the 10 most recent of 16 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Henry County?

Henry County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 63.6 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 64th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Henry County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Low, $24K EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $11M EAL), Ice Storm (Medium, $184K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Henry County compare to other Virginia counties?

Henry County ranks #20 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Henry County had?

FEMA records 16 federal disaster declarations for Henry County since 1972, most often 5 for hurricane events and 4 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Henry County's $15M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.