Colonial Heights City, Virginia Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · VA

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

6.0

National percentile: 6th

Colonial Heights City faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 6.0, 6th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and coastal flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $4M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Colonial Heights City carries a very low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 6.0 out of 100 — placing it in the 6th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Colonial Heights City's expected losses come from hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at Low risk — $240K in expected annual loss and about 0.18 events per year; coastal flood (seawater inundation from storm surge, high tides, and rising sea levels) at Very Low risk — $42K in expected annual loss and about 3.69 events per year; and earthquake (ground shaking from sudden movement along geologic faults) at Very Low risk — $211K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $4M in expected annual loss for a population of 18K.

Beyond physical exposure, Colonial Heights City has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a medium community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Colonial Heights City has received 15 federal disaster declarations since 1972, including 6 for hurricane events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 133 Virginia counties, Colonial Heights City ranks #119 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $4M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 18K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Low $240K/yr
Very Low $42K/yr
Very Low $211K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Low 0.18 / yr$240K
Coastal Flood Very Low 3.69 / yr$42K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$211K
Heat Wave Very Low 5.22 / yr$164K
Ice Storm Low 1.33 / yr$37K
Winter Weather Very Low 4.78 / yr$27K
Tornado Very Low 0.00 / yr$346K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.39 / yr$3M
Lightning Very Low 44.09 / yr$60K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.65 / yr$89K
Hail Very Low 2.25 / yr$17K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.44 / yr$2K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$856
Landslide Very Low 0.00 / yr$2
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Drought Very Low 4.74 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Colonial Heights City has received 15 federal disaster declarations since 1972, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (6), Biological (2), Severe Storm (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
September 2018HurricaneHurricane Florence
October 2012HurricaneHurricane Sandy
September 2011HurricaneHurricane Irene
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
September 2004Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding and Tornadoes Associated W Td Gaston
September 2003HurricaneHurricane Isabel
February 2000Severe StormSevere Winter Storms

Showing the 10 most recent of 15 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Colonial Heights City?

Colonial Heights City has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 6.0 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 6th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Colonial Heights City?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Low, $240K EAL), Coastal Flood (Very Low, $42K EAL), Earthquake (Very Low, $211K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Colonial Heights City compare to other Virginia counties?

Colonial Heights City ranks #119 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Colonial Heights City had?

FEMA records 15 federal disaster declarations for Colonial Heights City since 1972, most often 6 for hurricane events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Colonial Heights City's $4M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.