Fayette County
Tennessee — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 76th
Fayette County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 76.0, 76th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $30M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Earthquake | Medium | 0.01 / yr | $13M |
| Tornado | Medium | 0.47 / yr | $6M |
| Heat Wave | Medium | 17.05 / yr | $1M |
| Ice Storm | Medium | 0.73 / yr | $305K |
| Lightning | Medium | 59.18 / yr | $505K |
| Cold Wave | Medium | 1.47 / yr | $2M |
| Landslide | Low | 0.84 / yr | $4K |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $78K |
| Drought | Low | 9.57 / yr | $209K |
| Riverine Flood | Low | 1.07 / yr | $6M |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.04 / yr | $62K |
| Strong Wind | Low | 1.30 / yr | $347K |
| Hail | Very Low | 3.30 / yr | $80K |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 5.63 / yr | $9K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Fayette County?
Fayette County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 76.0 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 76th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Fayette County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Medium, $13M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $6M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Fayette County compare to other Tennessee counties?
Fayette County ranks #18 of 95 Tennessee counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Fayette County's $30M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.