Lawrence County

Pennsylvania — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

66.1

National percentile: 66th

Lawrence County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 66.1, 66th national percentile), driven primarily by riverine flood and lightning exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $25M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $25M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 86K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Riverine Flood
Medium $22M/yr
Lightning
Medium $632K/yr
Landslide
Low $3K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Riverine Flood Medium 2.29 / yr $22M
Lightning Medium 40.36 / yr $632K
Landslide Low 0.25 / yr $3K
Strong Wind Low 2.44 / yr $533K
Winter Weather Low 12.37 / yr $62K
Hail Low 4.08 / yr $250K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $56K
Ice Storm Low 0.43 / yr $61K
Tornado Low 0.16 / yr $745K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $119K
Heat Wave Very Low 1.53 / yr $124K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $12K
Cold Wave Very Low 3.32 / yr $164K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $14
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lawrence County?

Lawrence County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 66.1 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 66th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lawrence County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Riverine Flood (Medium, $22M EAL), Lightning (Medium, $632K EAL), Landslide (Low, $3K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lawrence County compare to other Pennsylvania counties?

Lawrence County ranks #39 of 67 Pennsylvania counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lawrence County's $25M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.