Wagoner County

Oklahoma — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

73.3

National percentile: 73th

Wagoner County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 73.3, 73th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $35M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $35M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 81K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
Very High $3M/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $5M/yr
Hail
Medium $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm Very High 1.35 / yr $3M
Heat Wave Medium 25.74 / yr $5M
Hail Medium 9.03 / yr $2M
Drought Medium 21.96 / yr $2M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $516K
Winter Weather Medium 8.05 / yr $202K
Cold Wave Medium 1.47 / yr $3M
Tornado Medium 0.69 / yr $3M
Riverine Flood Low 1.96 / yr $14M
Lightning Medium 55.74 / yr $512K
Landslide Very Low 0.12 / yr $2K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $296K
Strong Wind Low 6.91 / yr $326K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $8K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Wagoner County?

Wagoner County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 73.3 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 73th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Wagoner County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (Very High, $3M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $5M EAL), Hail (Medium, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Wagoner County compare to other Oklahoma counties?

Wagoner County ranks #28 of 77 Oklahoma counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Wagoner County's $35M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.