Pontotoc County, Oklahoma Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · OK

Low

Composite Risk Score

62.9

National percentile: 63th

Pontotoc County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 62.9, 63th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $21M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Pontotoc County at low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 62.9 out of 100 — placing it in the 63rd national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in ice storm (freezing rain that coats surfaces in heavy, damaging ice) at High risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 1.57 events per year; hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Medium risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 9.04 events per year; and wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Medium risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 0.01 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $21M in expected annual loss for a population of 38K.

Beyond physical exposure, Pontotoc County has a medium social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Pontotoc County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1970, including 11 for severe storm events and 7 for severe ice storm events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding (tornado), declared in April 2024.

Among 77 Oklahoma counties, Pontotoc County ranks #34 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $21M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 38K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

High $1M/yr
Medium $2M/yr
Medium $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm High 1.57 / yr$1M
Hail Medium 9.04 / yr$2M
Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr$1M
Tornado Medium 0.75 / yr$6M
Lightning High 54.76 / yr$753K
Heat Wave Medium 20.47 / yr$1M
Drought Medium 34.32 / yr$663K
Strong Wind Medium 4.13 / yr$960K
Winter Weather Medium 7.63 / yr$124K
Landslide Low 0.22 / yr$3K
Cold Wave Low 1.32 / yr$1M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$361K
Riverine Flood Low 0.82 / yr$5M
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$11K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Pontotoc County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1970, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding in April 2024. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (11), Severe Ice Storm (7), Tornado (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
April 2024TornadoSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
February 2021Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storms
February 2021Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
July 2017TornadoSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
May 2015Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
February 2011Severe StormSevere Winter Storm
March 2010Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm
February 2010Severe StormSevere Winter Storm

Showing the 10 most recent of 24 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Pontotoc County?

Pontotoc County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 62.9 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 63th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Pontotoc County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (High, $1M EAL), Hail (Medium, $2M EAL), Wildfire (Medium, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Pontotoc County compare to other Oklahoma counties?

Pontotoc County ranks #34 of 77 Oklahoma counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Pontotoc County had?

FEMA records 24 federal disaster declarations for Pontotoc County since 1970, most often 11 for severe storm events and 7 for severe ice storm events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, declared in April 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Pontotoc County's $21M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.