Jefferson County

Oklahoma — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

20.9

National percentile: 21th

Jefferson County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 20.9, 21th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $5M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $5M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 5K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
High $1M/yr
Wildfire
Low $218K/yr
Strong Wind
Medium $581K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought High 61.55 / yr $1M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $218K
Strong Wind Medium 3.85 / yr $581K
Ice Storm Medium 1.33 / yr $94K
Tornado Low 0.70 / yr $918K
Heat Wave Low 19.63 / yr $236K
Hail Low 10.13 / yr $117K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $67K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $11K
Cold Wave Low 1.16 / yr $195K
Landslide Very Low 0.11 / yr $86
Winter Weather Very Low 6.47 / yr $10K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.86 / yr $1M
Lightning Very Low 52.50 / yr $14K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Jefferson County?

Jefferson County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 20.9 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 21th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Jefferson County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (High, $1M EAL), Wildfire (Low, $218K EAL), Strong Wind (Medium, $581K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Jefferson County compare to other Oklahoma counties?

Jefferson County ranks #72 of 77 Oklahoma counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Jefferson County's $5M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.