Jackson County, Oklahoma Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · OK

Medium

Composite Risk Score

86.0

National percentile: 86th

Jackson County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 86.0, 86th national percentile), driven primarily by strong wind and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $54M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Jackson County carries a medium composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 86.0 out of 100 — placing it in the 86th national percentile and near the national midpoint for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by strong wind (damaging straight-line winds outside of tornadoes and hurricanes) at Very High risk — $44M in expected annual loss and about 4.09 events per year; drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at Medium risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 133.19 events per year; and ice storm (freezing rain that coats surfaces in heavy, damaging ice) at High risk — $511K in expected annual loss and about 0.84 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $54M in expected annual loss for a population of 25K.

Beyond physical exposure, Jackson County has a medium social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

The federal record bears this out: Jackson County has received 30 federal disaster declarations since 1973, including 14 for severe storm events and 8 for severe ice storm events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding (severe storm), declared in June 2024.

Among 77 Oklahoma counties, Jackson County ranks #5 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $54M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 25K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Very High $44M/yr
Medium $1M/yr
High $511K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Strong Wind Very High 4.09 / yr$44M
Drought Medium 133.19 / yr$1M
Ice Storm High 0.84 / yr$511K
Hail Medium 8.97 / yr$993K
Heat Wave Low 11.32 / yr$1M
Tornado Medium 0.63 / yr$2M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr$116K
Winter Weather Medium 7.68 / yr$98K
Cold Wave Low 1.37 / yr$874K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$156K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$9K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.86 / yr$3M
Landslide Very Low 0.11 / yr$175
Lightning Very Low 49.68 / yr$44K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Jackson County has received 30 federal disaster declarations since 1973, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding in June 2024. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (14), Severe Ice Storm (8), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
June 2024Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
February 2021Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storms
February 2021Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm
December 2020Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
June 2019Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
July 2016FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
February 2016Severe StormSevere Winter Storms and Flooding
May 2015Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 30 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Jackson County?

Jackson County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 86.0 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 86th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Jackson County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Strong Wind (Very High, $44M EAL), Drought (Medium, $1M EAL), Ice Storm (High, $511K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Jackson County compare to other Oklahoma counties?

Jackson County ranks #5 of 77 Oklahoma counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Jackson County had?

FEMA records 30 federal disaster declarations for Jackson County since 1973, most often 14 for severe storm events and 8 for severe ice storm events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, declared in June 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Jackson County's $54M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.