Grand Forks County
North Dakota — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 58th
Grand Forks County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 57.7, 58th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $25M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Winter Weather | Very High | 23.53 / yr | $2M |
| Ice Storm | High | 0.39 / yr | $1M |
| Hail | Medium | 3.86 / yr | $2M |
| Strong Wind | Medium | 2.19 / yr | $2M |
| Cold Wave | Medium | 21.74 / yr | $3M |
| Riverine Flood | Low | 1.89 / yr | $12M |
| Tornado | Low | 1.02 / yr | $2M |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $81K |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 1.21 / yr | $255K |
| Lightning | Low | 27.26 / yr | $172K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.14 / yr | $538 |
| Drought | Very Low | 5.53 / yr | $18K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $17K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Grand Forks County?
Grand Forks County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 57.7 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 58th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Grand Forks County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (Very High, $2M EAL), Ice Storm (High, $1M EAL), Hail (Medium, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Grand Forks County compare to other North Dakota counties?
Grand Forks County ranks #5 of 53 North Dakota counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Grand Forks County's $25M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.