Caldwell County

North Carolina — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

67.4

National percentile: 67th

Caldwell County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 67.4, 67th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $25M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $25M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 81K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Medium $56K/yr
Ice Storm
High $732K/yr
Riverine Flood
Medium $18M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 1.28 / yr $56K
Ice Storm High 1.13 / yr $732K
Riverine Flood Medium 2.18 / yr $18M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $1M
Strong Wind Medium 2.70 / yr $1M
Lightning Medium 53.37 / yr $482K
Hurricane Low 0.04 / yr $373K
Tornado Low 0.17 / yr $2M
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $50K
Drought Low 29.09 / yr $146K
Cold Wave Low 1.32 / yr $922K
Hail Low 4.75 / yr $218K
Heat Wave Low 0.19 / yr $210K
Winter Weather Low 8.73 / yr $37K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Caldwell County?

Caldwell County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 67.4 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 67th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Caldwell County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $56K EAL), Ice Storm (High, $732K EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $18M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Caldwell County compare to other North Carolina counties?

Caldwell County ranks #56 of 100 North Carolina counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Caldwell County's $25M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.