Wayne County
New York — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 56th
Wayne County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 56.3, 56th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $19M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Hail | Medium | 1.50 / yr | $1M |
| Ice Storm | Medium | 1.15 / yr | $283K |
| Riverine Flood | Low | 1.11 / yr | $14M |
| Strong Wind | Medium | 1.36 / yr | $859K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.02 / yr | $156K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $364K |
| Lightning | Low | 28.16 / yr | $248K |
| Heat Wave | Low | 3.58 / yr | $319K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.23 / yr | $990 |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $27K |
| Tornado | Low | 0.14 / yr | $802K |
| Drought | Low | 0.55 / yr | $41K |
| Winter Weather | Low | 25.79 / yr | $37K |
| Cold Wave | Low | 2.89 / yr | $351K |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $1 |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Wayne County?
Wayne County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 56.3 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 56th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Wayne County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Medium, $1M EAL), Ice Storm (Medium, $283K EAL), Riverine Flood (Low, $14M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Wayne County compare to other New York counties?
Wayne County ranks #48 of 62 New York counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Wayne County's $19M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.