Washington County

Missouri — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

67.8

National percentile: 68th

Washington County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 67.8, 68th national percentile), driven primarily by heat wave and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $20M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $20M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 23K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Heat Wave
Medium $6M/yr
Cold Wave
Medium $4M/yr
Earthquake
Low $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Heat Wave Medium 10.89 / yr $6M
Cold Wave Medium 1.37 / yr $4M
Earthquake Low 0.01 / yr $2M
Landslide Low 2.31 / yr $11K
Strong Wind Medium 4.52 / yr $831K
Tornado Medium 0.48 / yr $2M
Ice Storm Low 0.93 / yr $93K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $50K
Riverine Flood Low 0.86 / yr $5M
Hail Low 4.69 / yr $215K
Lightning Low 53.92 / yr $140K
Winter Weather Low 8.68 / yr $39K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $11K
Drought Very Low 2.54 / yr $4K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Washington County?

Washington County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 67.8 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 68th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Washington County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Heat Wave (Medium, $6M EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $4M EAL), Earthquake (Low, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Washington County compare to other Missouri counties?

Washington County ranks #31 of 115 Missouri counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Washington County's $20M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.