Phelps County

Missouri — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

53.7

National percentile: 54th

Phelps County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 53.7, 54th national percentile), driven primarily by heat wave and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $19M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $19M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 45K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Heat Wave
Medium $3M/yr
Ice Storm
High $716K/yr
Earthquake
Low $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Heat Wave Medium 11.63 / yr $3M
Ice Storm High 1.03 / yr $716K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $2M
Cold Wave Medium 2.42 / yr $3M
Winter Weather Medium 12.00 / yr $190K
Landslide Low 1.00 / yr $6K
Lightning Medium 53.89 / yr $348K
Strong Wind Medium 3.40 / yr $759K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $79K
Riverine Flood Low 2.68 / yr $7M
Tornado Low 0.33 / yr $843K
Hail Low 4.56 / yr $151K
Drought Very Low 3.41 / yr $26K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $11K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Phelps County?

Phelps County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 53.7 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 54th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Phelps County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Heat Wave (Medium, $3M EAL), Ice Storm (High, $716K EAL), Earthquake (Low, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Phelps County compare to other Missouri counties?

Phelps County ranks #56 of 115 Missouri counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Phelps County's $19M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.