Cape Girardeau County

Missouri — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

85.7

National percentile: 86th

Cape Girardeau County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 85.7, 86th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $68M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $68M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 82K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Earthquake
Medium $29M/yr
Ice Storm
High $2M/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $4M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Medium 0.01 / yr $29M
Ice Storm High 1.11 / yr $2M
Heat Wave Medium 10.95 / yr $4M
Winter Weather High 7.89 / yr $540K
Landslide Low 1.65 / yr $27K
Cold Wave Medium 1.16 / yr $4M
Riverine Flood Medium 6.32 / yr $21M
Tornado Medium 0.49 / yr $4M
Strong Wind Medium 4.03 / yr $1M
Hail Medium 3.46 / yr $764K
Lightning Medium 56.44 / yr $412K
Drought Low 3.88 / yr $355K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $32K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $20K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Cape Girardeau County?

Cape Girardeau County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 85.7 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 86th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Cape Girardeau County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Medium, $29M EAL), Ice Storm (High, $2M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $4M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Cape Girardeau County compare to other Missouri counties?

Cape Girardeau County ranks #10 of 115 Missouri counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Cape Girardeau County's $68M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.