Lincoln County

Mississippi — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

48.4

National percentile: 48th

Lincoln County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 48.4, 48th national percentile), driven primarily by heat wave and hurricane exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $11M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $11M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 35K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Heat Wave
Medium $1M/yr
Hurricane
Low $1M/yr
Tornado
Medium $3M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Heat Wave Medium 14.53 / yr $1M
Hurricane Low 0.14 / yr $1M
Tornado Medium 0.73 / yr $3M
Strong Wind Medium 2.96 / yr $716K
Hail Low 3.64 / yr $373K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $69K
Lightning Medium 76.73 / yr $232K
Ice Storm Low 0.89 / yr $89K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $296K
Drought Low 9.99 / yr $114K
Landslide Very Low 0.26 / yr $621
Riverine Flood Low 1.29 / yr $4M
Cold Wave Low 0.74 / yr $262K
Winter Weather Very Low 1.89 / yr $7K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lincoln County?

Lincoln County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 48.4 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 48th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lincoln County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Heat Wave (Medium, $1M EAL), Hurricane (Low, $1M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $3M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lincoln County compare to other Mississippi counties?

Lincoln County ranks #46 of 82 Mississippi counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lincoln County's $11M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.