Hinds County, Mississippi Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · MS

Medium

Composite Risk Score

94.3

National percentile: 94th

Hinds County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 94.3, 94th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $117M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Hinds County is medium, with a National Risk Index score of 94.3 out of 100 — placing it in the 94th national percentile and near the national midpoint for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Very High risk — $13M in expected annual loss and about 4.16 events per year; tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at High risk — $19M in expected annual loss and about 1.21 events per year; and strong wind (damaging straight-line winds outside of tornadoes and hurricanes) at Very High risk — $4M in expected annual loss and about 3.56 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $117M in expected annual loss for a population of 228K.

Beyond physical exposure, Hinds County has a very high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Higher vulnerability is partly offset by strong community resilience and recovery capacity.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Hinds County has received 27 federal disaster declarations since 1969, including 10 for hurricane events and 8 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in February 2026.

Among 82 Mississippi counties, Hinds County ranks #2 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $117M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 228K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Very High $13M/yr
High $19M/yr
Very High $4M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hail Very High 4.16 / yr$13M
Tornado High 1.21 / yr$19M
Strong Wind Very High 3.56 / yr$4M
Heat Wave High 15.63 / yr$7M
Ice Storm Very High 1.27 / yr$1M
Riverine Flood High 4.46 / yr$56M
Lightning High 71.29 / yr$1M
Winter Weather High 2.47 / yr$358K
Earthquake Medium 0.00 / yr$5M
Cold Wave High 0.89 / yr$5M
Hurricane Medium 0.09 / yr$3M
Drought Medium 14.07 / yr$719K
Landslide Low 0.46 / yr$10K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$46K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Hinds County has received 27 federal disaster declarations since 1969, most recently Severe Winter Storm in February 2026. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (10), Severe Storm (8), Winter Storm (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
February 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
June 2024Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
August 2022OtherWater Crisis
October 2021HurricaneHurricane Ida
August 2021HurricaneHurricane Ida
May 2021Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storms
October 2020HurricaneHurricane Delta
April 2020Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, and Mudslides
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic

Showing the 10 most recent of 27 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Hinds County?

Hinds County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 94.3 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 94th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Hinds County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Very High, $13M EAL), Tornado (High, $19M EAL), Strong Wind (Very High, $4M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Hinds County compare to other Mississippi counties?

Hinds County ranks #2 of 82 Mississippi counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Hinds County had?

FEMA records 27 federal disaster declarations for Hinds County since 1969, most often 10 for hurricane events and 8 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in February 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Hinds County's $117M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.