Nobles County

Minnesota — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

50.2

National percentile: 50th

Nobles County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 50.2, 50th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $13M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $13M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 22K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hail
Medium $2M/yr
Winter Weather
High $363K/yr
Cold Wave
Medium $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hail Medium 5.53 / yr $2M
Winter Weather High 20.89 / yr $363K
Cold Wave Medium 11.95 / yr $2M
Tornado Medium 0.56 / yr $2M
Ice Storm Medium 1.03 / yr $206K
Strong Wind Medium 3.92 / yr $767K
Drought Medium 9.37 / yr $342K
Riverine Flood Low 1.07 / yr $5M
Heat Wave Low 3.63 / yr $218K
Lightning Low 38.38 / yr $93K
Landslide Very Low 0.07 / yr $168
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $24K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $6K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Nobles County?

Nobles County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 50.2 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 50th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Nobles County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Medium, $2M EAL), Winter Weather (High, $363K EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Nobles County compare to other Minnesota counties?

Nobles County ranks #32 of 87 Minnesota counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Nobles County's $13M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.