Genesee County

Michigan — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

92.2

National percentile: 92th

Genesee County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 92.2, 92th national percentile), driven primarily by tornado and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $113M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $113M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 406K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Tornado
High $29M/yr
Cold Wave
High $21M/yr
Strong Wind
High $5M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Tornado High 0.29 / yr $29M
Cold Wave High 2.84 / yr $21M
Strong Wind High 5.57 / yr $5M
Riverine Flood Medium 0.93 / yr $51M
Hail Medium 2.79 / yr $2M
Ice Storm High 1.25 / yr $862K
Lightning High 32.69 / yr $1M
Heat Wave Medium 2.63 / yr $2M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $815K
Winter Weather Low 11.42 / yr $85K
Landslide Very Low 0.11 / yr $2K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $46K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $11K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Genesee County?

Genesee County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 92.2 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 92th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Genesee County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Tornado (High, $29M EAL), Cold Wave (High, $21M EAL), Strong Wind (High, $5M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Genesee County compare to other Michigan counties?

Genesee County ranks #4 of 83 Michigan counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Genesee County's $113M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.