Menominee County, Michigan Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · MI

Low

Composite Risk Score

44.4

National percentile: 44th

Menominee County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 44.4, 44th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $11M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Menominee County carries a low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 44.4 out of 100 — placing it in the 44th national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Menominee County's expected losses come from cold wave (prolonged spells of dangerously low temperatures) at Medium risk — $5M in expected annual loss and about 4.00 events per year; hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Low risk — $414K in expected annual loss and about 1.08 events per year; and lightning (electrical discharges from storms that ignite fires and cause casualties) at Medium risk — $310K in expected annual loss and about 26.49 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $11M in expected annual loss for a population of 23K.

Beyond physical exposure, Menominee County has a high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Higher vulnerability is partly offset by strong community resilience and recovery capacity.

The federal record bears this out: Menominee County has received 8 federal disaster declarations since 1973, including 3 for flood events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding (flood), declared in June 2026.

Among 83 Michigan counties, Menominee County ranks #50 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $11M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 23K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $5M/yr
Low $414K/yr
Medium $310K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave Medium 4.00 / yr$5M
Hail Low 1.08 / yr$414K
Lightning Medium 26.49 / yr$310K
Landslide Very Low 0.21 / yr$2K
Winter Weather Low 14.43 / yr$55K
Riverine Flood Low 0.36 / yr$5M
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr$10K
Ice Storm Low 0.02 / yr$31K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$14K
Tornado Low 0.14 / yr$440K
Strong Wind Low 1.14 / yr$234K
Drought Very Low 1.25 / yr$3K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.37 / yr$28K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$6K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Menominee County has received 8 federal disaster declarations since 1973, most recently Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding in June 2026. Most frequent causes: Flood (3), Biological (2), Hurricane (1).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
June 2026FloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
August 2018FloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
January 1978SnowstormBlizzards & Snowstorms
March 1977DroughtDrought
April 1973FloodSevere Storms & Flooding

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Menominee County?

Menominee County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 44.4 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 44th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Menominee County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (Medium, $5M EAL), Hail (Low, $414K EAL), Lightning (Medium, $310K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Menominee County compare to other Michigan counties?

Menominee County ranks #50 of 83 Michigan counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Menominee County had?

FEMA records 8 federal disaster declarations for Menominee County since 1973, most often 3 for flood events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding, declared in June 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Menominee County's $11M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.