Lincoln County

Kentucky — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

32.6

National percentile: 33th

Lincoln County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 32.6, 33th national percentile), driven primarily by strong wind and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $8M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $8M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 24K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Strong Wind
Medium $892K/yr
Hail
Low $444K/yr
Winter Weather
Medium $81K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Strong Wind Medium 6.40 / yr $892K
Hail Low 3.26 / yr $444K
Winter Weather Medium 9.32 / yr $81K
Cold Wave Low 0.95 / yr $1M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $318K
Ice Storm Low 0.62 / yr $87K
Lightning Low 52.71 / yr $181K
Riverine Flood Low 0.86 / yr $4M
Hurricane Very Low 0.03 / yr $29K
Tornado Low 0.16 / yr $671K
Landslide Very Low 0.48 / yr $381
Heat Wave Very Low 2.53 / yr $147K
Drought Very Low 5.46 / yr $22K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $8K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lincoln County?

Lincoln County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 32.6 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 33th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lincoln County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Strong Wind (Medium, $892K EAL), Hail (Low, $444K EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $81K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lincoln County compare to other Kentucky counties?

Lincoln County ranks #76 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lincoln County's $8M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.