Harlan County

Kentucky — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

65.7

National percentile: 66th

Harlan County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 65.7, 66th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and strong wind exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $18M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $18M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 27K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Medium $42K/yr
Strong Wind
High $1M/yr
Riverine Flood
Medium $14M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 1.60 / yr $42K
Strong Wind High 4.91 / yr $1M
Riverine Flood Medium 1.50 / yr $14M
Avalanche Low 0.01 / yr $11K
Winter Weather Medium 17.53 / yr $109K
Wildfire Low 0.01 / yr $121K
Cold Wave Low 0.95 / yr $1M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $269K
Hail Low 3.07 / yr $169K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $26K
Heat Wave Low 2.42 / yr $159K
Tornado Low 0.11 / yr $588K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.13 / yr $16K
Lightning Very Low 52.34 / yr $40K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 10.58 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Harlan County?

Harlan County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 65.7 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 66th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Harlan County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $42K EAL), Strong Wind (High, $1M EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $14M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Harlan County compare to other Kentucky counties?

Harlan County ranks #28 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Harlan County's $18M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.