Green County, Kentucky Natural Disaster Risk
FEMA National Risk Index assessment · KY
Very LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 14th
Green County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 14.0, 14th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $4M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Risk Overview
Green County carries a very low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 14.0 out of 100 — placing it in the 14th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.
The county's risk is driven primarily by hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Low risk — $248K in expected annual loss and about 3.09 events per year; ice storm (freezing rain that coats surfaces in heavy, damaging ice) at Low risk — $65K in expected annual loss and about 0.80 events per year; and earthquake (ground shaking from sudden movement along geologic faults) at Very Low risk — $177K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $4M in expected annual loss for a population of 11K.
Beyond physical exposure, Green County has a high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a medium community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.
The federal record bears this out: Green County has received 26 federal disaster declarations since 1971, including 14 for severe storm events and 3 for snowstorm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.
Among 120 Kentucky counties, Green County ranks #109 for overall natural disaster risk.
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Hail | Low | 3.09 / yr | $248K |
| Ice Storm | Low | 0.80 / yr | $65K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $177K |
| Winter Weather | Low | 7.63 / yr | $42K |
| Tornado | Low | 0.18 / yr | $810K |
| Strong Wind | Low | 6.49 / yr | $355K |
| Drought | Low | 2.77 / yr | $44K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.49 / yr | $367 |
| Cold Wave | Low | 0.89 / yr | $387K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.02 / yr | $12K |
| Lightning | Low | 53.67 / yr | $84K |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 3.58 / yr | $77K |
| Riverine Flood | Very Low | 0.64 / yr | $2M |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $1K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Disaster History
Green County has received 26 federal disaster declarations since 1971, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (14), Snowstorm (3), Tornado (3).
| Declared | Type | Disaster |
|---|---|---|
| January 2026 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| April 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides |
| April 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding |
| February 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides |
| February 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Landslides |
| July 2024 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Landslides, and Mudslides |
| April 2023 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides |
| February 2022 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides |
| March 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| March 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
Showing the 10 most recent of 26 declarations.
Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Green County?
Green County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 14.0 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 14th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Green County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Low, $248K EAL), Ice Storm (Low, $65K EAL), Earthquake (Very Low, $177K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Green County compare to other Kentucky counties?
Green County ranks #109 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.
How many federally declared disasters has Green County had?
FEMA records 26 federal disaster declarations for Green County since 1971, most often 14 for severe storm events and 3 for snowstorm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Green County's $4M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.