Casey County

Kentucky — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

37.1

National percentile: 37th

Casey County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 37.1, 37th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $8M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $8M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 16K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Winter Weather
Medium $78K/yr
Hail
Low $287K/yr
Tornado
Low $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather Medium 8.79 / yr $78K
Hail Low 3.15 / yr $287K
Tornado Low 0.25 / yr $1M
Cold Wave Low 0.89 / yr $948K
Strong Wind Medium 6.53 / yr $495K
Landslide Very Low 0.93 / yr $1K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $246K
Riverine Flood Low 0.75 / yr $4M
Lightning Low 54.27 / yr $132K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $30K
Ice Storm Low 0.54 / yr $43K
Drought Low 5.68 / yr $26K
Heat Wave Very Low 2.53 / yr $86K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $4K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Casey County?

Casey County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 37.1 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 37th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Casey County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (Medium, $78K EAL), Hail (Low, $287K EAL), Tornado (Low, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Casey County compare to other Kentucky counties?

Casey County ranks #69 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Casey County's $8M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.