Lee County, Iowa Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · IA

Low

Composite Risk Score

62.9

National percentile: 63th

Lee County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 62.9, 63th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $23M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Lee County at low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 62.9 out of 100 — placing it in the 63rd national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Medium risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 3.64 events per year; heat wave (prolonged periods of extreme heat that threaten health and infrastructure) at Medium risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 9.26 events per year; and drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at Medium risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 6.70 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $23M in expected annual loss for a population of 34K.

Beyond physical exposure, Lee County has a medium social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

The federal record bears this out: Lee County has received 22 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including 10 for severe storm events and 9 for flood events. The most recent was Flooding (flood), declared in August 2023.

Among 99 Iowa counties, Lee County ranks #13 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $23M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 34K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $1M/yr
Medium $2M/yr
Medium $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hail Medium 3.64 / yr$1M
Heat Wave Medium 9.26 / yr$2M
Drought Medium 6.70 / yr$1M
Strong Wind Medium 4.71 / yr$1M
Landslide Low 0.21 / yr$9K
Riverine Flood Low 2.36 / yr$13M
Tornado Medium 0.38 / yr$2M
Lightning Medium 45.81 / yr$350K
Ice Storm Low 0.33 / yr$108K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$360K
Winter Weather Low 11.84 / yr$67K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$43K
Cold Wave Low 4.47 / yr$538K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$5K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Lee County has received 22 federal disaster declarations since 1965, most recently Flooding in August 2023. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (10), Flood (9), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
August 2023FloodFlooding
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
March 2019FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
September 2018Severe StormSevere Storm and Tornadoes
July 2015Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
August 2014Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
July 2013Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
May 2013FloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
July 2010Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, and Tornadoes

Showing the 10 most recent of 22 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lee County?

Lee County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 62.9 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 63th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lee County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Medium, $1M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $2M EAL), Drought (Medium, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lee County compare to other Iowa counties?

Lee County ranks #13 of 99 Iowa counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Lee County had?

FEMA records 22 federal disaster declarations for Lee County since 1965, most often 10 for severe storm events and 9 for flood events. The most recent was Flooding, declared in August 2023.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lee County's $23M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.