Dubuque County, Iowa Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · IA

Low

Composite Risk Score

63.6

National percentile: 64th

Dubuque County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 63.6, 64th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $42M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Dubuque County is low, with a National Risk Index score of 63.6 out of 100 — placing it in the 64th national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Medium risk — $3M in expected annual loss and about 3.99 events per year; landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Low risk — $67K in expected annual loss and about 0.51 events per year; and tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at Medium risk — $9M in expected annual loss and about 0.51 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $42M in expected annual loss for a population of 99K.

Beyond physical exposure, Dubuque County has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

History supports the rating: Dubuque County has received 21 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including 10 for flood events and 8 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes (severe storm), declared in June 2024.

Among 99 Iowa counties, Dubuque County ranks #12 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $42M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 99K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $3M/yr
Low $67K/yr
Medium $9M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hail Medium 3.99 / yr$3M
Landslide Low 0.51 / yr$67K
Tornado Medium 0.51 / yr$9M
Cold Wave Medium 7.79 / yr$6M
Strong Wind Medium 5.54 / yr$2M
Winter Weather Medium 16.79 / yr$254K
Drought Medium 5.05 / yr$850K
Riverine Flood Low 1.64 / yr$19M
Heat Wave Low 4.58 / yr$1M
Ice Storm Low 0.26 / yr$142K
Lightning Low 39.75 / yr$236K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$153K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$17K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$4K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Dubuque County has received 21 federal disaster declarations since 1965, most recently Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes in June 2024. Most frequent causes: Flood (10), Severe Storm (8), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
June 2024Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes
August 2023FloodFlooding
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
August 2017Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
August 2011Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
July 2010Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, and Tornadoes
May 2008Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
May 2004Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 21 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Dubuque County?

Dubuque County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 63.6 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 64th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Dubuque County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Medium, $3M EAL), Landslide (Low, $67K EAL), Tornado (Medium, $9M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Dubuque County compare to other Iowa counties?

Dubuque County ranks #12 of 99 Iowa counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Dubuque County had?

FEMA records 21 federal disaster declarations for Dubuque County since 1965, most often 10 for flood events and 8 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes, declared in June 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Dubuque County's $42M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.