Crawford County, Iowa Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · IA

Low

Composite Risk Score

60.8

National percentile: 61th

Crawford County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 60.8, 61th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $24M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Crawford County carries a low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 60.8 out of 100 — placing it in the 61st national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at High risk — $6M in expected annual loss and about 9.58 events per year; tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at Medium risk — $5M in expected annual loss and about 0.58 events per year; and landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Low risk — $16K in expected annual loss and about 0.53 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $24M in expected annual loss for a population of 17K.

Beyond physical exposure, Crawford County has a low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

The federal record bears this out: Crawford County has received 23 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including 9 for severe storm events and 8 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in May 2025.

Among 99 Iowa counties, Crawford County ranks #15 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $24M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 17K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

High $6M/yr
Medium $5M/yr
Low $16K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought High 9.58 / yr$6M
Tornado Medium 0.58 / yr$5M
Landslide Low 0.53 / yr$16K
Hail Medium 5.79 / yr$801K
Cold Wave Medium 7.00 / yr$2M
Strong Wind Medium 4.34 / yr$918K
Ice Storm Medium 0.75 / yr$171K
Riverine Flood Low 0.82 / yr$9M
Winter Weather Low 14.58 / yr$64K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$40K
Heat Wave Very Low 5.68 / yr$152K
Lightning Low 43.53 / yr$104K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$10K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Crawford County has received 23 federal disaster declarations since 1965, most recently Severe Winter Storm in May 2025. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (9), Flood (8), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
May 2025Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
May 2024TornadoSevere Storms and Tornadoes
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
March 2019FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
August 2014Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
July 2013Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
March 2010Severe StormSevere Winter Storm
February 2010Severe StormSevere Winter Storms and Snowstorm
May 2008Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 23 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Crawford County?

Crawford County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 60.8 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 61th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Crawford County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (High, $6M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $5M EAL), Landslide (Low, $16K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Crawford County compare to other Iowa counties?

Crawford County ranks #15 of 99 Iowa counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Crawford County had?

FEMA records 23 federal disaster declarations for Crawford County since 1965, most often 9 for severe storm events and 8 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in May 2025.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Crawford County's $24M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.