Decatur County, Indiana Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · IN

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

23.1

National percentile: 23th

Decatur County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 23.1, 23th national percentile), driven primarily by lightning and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $12M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Decatur County at very low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 23.1 out of 100 — placing it in the 23rd national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Decatur County's expected losses come from lightning (electrical discharges from storms that ignite fires and cause casualties) at Medium risk — $553K in expected annual loss and about 48.60 events per year; tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at Low risk — $3M in expected annual loss and about 0.27 events per year; and earthquake (ground shaking from sudden movement along geologic faults) at Very Low risk — $662K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $12M in expected annual loss for a population of 26K.

Beyond physical exposure, Decatur County has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

The federal record bears this out: Decatur County has received 14 federal disaster declarations since 1974, including 5 for severe storm events and 3 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 92 Indiana counties, Decatur County ranks #73 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $12M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 26K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $553K/yr
Low $3M/yr
Very Low $662K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Lightning Medium 48.60 / yr$553K
Tornado Low 0.27 / yr$3M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$662K
Landslide Very Low 0.13 / yr$3K
Strong Wind Low 4.53 / yr$711K
Ice Storm Low 0.72 / yr$95K
Drought Low 1.66 / yr$132K
Riverine Flood Low 0.93 / yr$7M
Hail Low 4.41 / yr$215K
Cold Wave Low 2.11 / yr$534K
Heat Wave Very Low 4.84 / yr$102K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$8K
Winter Weather Very Low 8.63 / yr$18K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$3K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Decatur County has received 14 federal disaster declarations since 1974, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (5), Flood (3), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
July 2025FloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
September 2008Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
June 2008Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, and Tornadoes
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
January 2005Severe StormSevere Winter Storms and Flooding
January 2005SnowstormSnow
June 2004Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 14 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Decatur County?

Decatur County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 23.1 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 23th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Decatur County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Lightning (Medium, $553K EAL), Tornado (Low, $3M EAL), Earthquake (Very Low, $662K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Decatur County compare to other Indiana counties?

Decatur County ranks #73 of 92 Indiana counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Decatur County had?

FEMA records 14 federal disaster declarations for Decatur County since 1974, most often 5 for severe storm events and 3 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Decatur County's $12M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.