Wayne County

Illinois — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

40.7

National percentile: 41th

Wayne County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 40.7, 41th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $13M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $13M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 16K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Earthquake
Low $3M/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $2M/yr
Drought
Medium $563K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Low 0.01 / yr $3M
Heat Wave Medium 9.11 / yr $2M
Drought Medium 1.66 / yr $563K
Landslide Very Low 0.36 / yr $2K
Tornado Low 0.50 / yr $1M
Cold Wave Low 1.16 / yr $870K
Winter Weather Low 7.95 / yr $48K
Strong Wind Low 4.20 / yr $395K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $25K
Riverine Flood Low 3.21 / yr $4M
Ice Storm Low 0.52 / yr $45K
Hail Very Low 2.92 / yr $114K
Lightning Very Low 50.02 / yr $84K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $615
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Wayne County?

Wayne County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 40.7 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 41th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Wayne County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Low, $3M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $2M EAL), Drought (Medium, $563K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Wayne County compare to other Illinois counties?

Wayne County ranks #68 of 102 Illinois counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Wayne County's $13M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.