Franklin County, Idaho Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · ID

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

7.6

National percentile: 8th

Franklin County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 7.6, 8th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $5M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Franklin County carries a very low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 7.6 out of 100 — placing it in the 8th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Low risk — $487K in expected annual loss and about 0.01 events per year; earthquake (ground shaking from sudden movement along geologic faults) at Low risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 0.01 events per year; and winter weather (heavy snow, blizzards, and hazardous winter conditions) at Medium risk — $142K in expected annual loss and about 20.64 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $5M in expected annual loss for a population of 14K.

Beyond physical exposure, Franklin County has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

The federal record bears this out: Franklin County has received 4 federal disaster declarations since 2005, including 2 for biological events and 1 for flood events. The most recent was Covid-19 Pandemic (biological), declared in April 2020.

Among 44 Idaho counties, Franklin County ranks #37 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $5M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 14K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Low $487K/yr
Low $1M/yr
Medium $142K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Low 0.01 / yr$487K
Earthquake Low 0.01 / yr$1M
Winter Weather Medium 20.64 / yr$142K
Landslide Very Low 0.91 / yr$978
Lightning Low 34.30 / yr$211K
Heat Wave Very Low 1.46 / yr$147K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr$90
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$1
Cold Wave Very Low 0.50 / yr$316K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.25 / yr$3M
Drought Very Low 74.13 / yr$2K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.58 / yr$104K
Hail Very Low 0.34 / yr$23K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr$3K
Tornado Very Low 0.05 / yr$11K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Franklin County has received 4 federal disaster declarations since 2005, most recently Covid-19 Pandemic in April 2020. Most frequent causes: Biological (2), Flood (1), Hurricane (1).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
April 2017FloodSevere Winter Storms and Flooding
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Franklin County?

Franklin County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 7.6 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 8th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Franklin County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Low, $487K EAL), Earthquake (Low, $1M EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $142K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Franklin County compare to other Idaho counties?

Franklin County ranks #37 of 44 Idaho counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Franklin County had?

FEMA records 4 federal disaster declarations for Franklin County since 2005, most often 2 for biological events and 1 for flood events. The most recent was Covid-19 Pandemic, declared in April 2020.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Franklin County's $5M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.