Schley County, Georgia Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · GA

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

0.6

National percentile: 1th

Schley County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 0.6, 1th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $1M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Schley County at very low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 0.6 out of 100 — placing it in the 1st national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at Very Low risk — $114K in expected annual loss and about 0.09 events per year; drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at Low risk — $136K in expected annual loss and about 51.51 events per year; and wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Very Low risk — $12K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $1M in expected annual loss for a population of 5K.

Beyond physical exposure, Schley County has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

History supports the rating: Schley County has received 12 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including 6 for hurricane events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 159 Georgia counties, Schley County ranks #158 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $1M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 5K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Very Low $114K/yr
Low $136K/yr
Very Low $12K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Very Low 0.09 / yr$114K
Drought Low 51.51 / yr$136K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$12K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$39K
Heat Wave Very Low 7.05 / yr$79K
Tornado Very Low 0.11 / yr$165K
Lightning Very Low 66.55 / yr$50K
Hail Very Low 2.49 / yr$37K
Landslide Very Low 0.08 / yr$27
Strong Wind Very Low 1.56 / yr$59K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.26 / yr$7K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.40 / yr$1K
Winter Weather Very Low 0.42 / yr$1K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.11 / yr$490K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Schley County has received 12 federal disaster declarations since 1977, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (6), Biological (2), Winter Storm (1).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
September 2024Tropical StormHurricane Helene
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
October 2018HurricaneHurricane Michael
October 2018HurricaneHurricane Michael
September 2017HurricaneHurricane Irma
September 2017HurricaneHurricane Irma
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
September 2004HurricaneTropical Storm Frances

Showing the 10 most recent of 12 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Schley County?

Schley County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 0.6 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 1th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Schley County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Very Low, $114K EAL), Drought (Low, $136K EAL), Wildfire (Very Low, $12K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Schley County compare to other Georgia counties?

Schley County ranks #158 of 159 Georgia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Schley County had?

FEMA records 12 federal disaster declarations for Schley County since 1977, most often 6 for hurricane events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Schley County's $1M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.